The Public likes the heavy favorite. Maybe too much.
There were nine games in the early part of the college football schedule on Saturday (kickoffs before 1:00 p.m. EST) that had teams favored by more than 15 points. Only three of those heavy favorites managed to cover the spread. That’s just another reminder that the public loves a favorite, and especially loves them if they are clearly much, much better than the underdog. It’s not as easy as just picking the underdog in these cases, but these games always need a second look. LSU this week is a good example - they were favored by 41.5 over Tulane, but there were only 43 points scored in the game. The Tigers were obviously going to win the game, and they looked good doing it, but does it really make sense to bet that they will win by at least six touchdowns when a win by less would be perfectly acceptable? Sometimes, but not always.
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