Thanksgiving day games
Happy Thanksgiving to all you Americans out there. I’m a Canadian, so it’s not my Thanksgiving, but I work mostly for Americans, I will be lying on the couch watching football all day like most Americans, and I really, really love turkey, so there will be a bird in the oven at my house in the spirit of cross-border cooperation. It’s the least I can do.
The fun of watching the game will obviously be enhanced by having betting interests in them. I normally wouldn’t play all three of the NFL games, but then I wouldn’t normally spend a Thursday lying on the couch and gorging myself on Turkey, so it seems fitting to go all the way:
Green Bay (-3) at Detroit - I don’t want to overthink this one. I am sick of losing money on the Lions, and I don’t trust them. I don’t understand how it is happening, but the Packers are consistently winning. I think that they will continue their winning ways, and I think that only having to give up a field goal is a relative field goal. Pick: Green Bay
New York Jets (+14) at Dallas - I have gone back and forth on this one. Obviously the Cowboys are far superior, but they haven’t been blowing teams away, and the Jets did post a big upset last week. Despite that, New York can’t stop the run, and Dallas will be able to pound their backs, which will in turn provide opportunities for the passing game. I wish that the line were a bit smaller (and I think it probably should be), but I can’t convince myself to take the Jets. Pick: Dallas
Indianapolis (-13) at Atlanta - I must say in advance that I can’t believe I am actually going to pick the Falcons. The woes of the Colts are so extreme that I have no choice, though. The injury problems, most notably Marvin Harrison, are still a problem, and the team has lost its mojo. Though Atlanta is only 3-7, they have a surprisingly good record of 6-4 against the spread. They have played well in three of their last four, and will certainly be motivated to make a statement against a top team. I think Indy will still win the game, and under normal circumstances I wouldn’t touch this game, but I do believe that this spread is a bit high given the current reality. Pick: Atlanta
UPDATE: Wow, that was a terrible day of football. Three games, and barely a highlight. That’s ten hours of my life I will never get back. It was made a bit more bearable thanks to the profit. Green Bay came through as expected, and the Jets failed to show up which made it easy for the Cowboys. That was two wins. Atlanta looked like they were going to give me a sweep, but they couldn’t stay close, and they couldn’t score a late, meaningless touchdown. Oh well, I’ll take 2-1 any day.
Tags: atlanta, dallas, detroit, green-bay, indianapolis, new-york-jets, NFL, picks, SelectionsRelated Stories
POSTED IN: NFL, Selections
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