Ultra Sports Bet » steelers

NFL Saturday action

Sat, 05 Jan 2008 18:22:06 +0000

I like Saturday’s games way more than I like Sunday’s. That doesn’t mean that I am going to be original, though – it’s going to be all about the chalk today. I don’t love being in line with the public, but I can’t justify going another way here.

Washington (+3.5) at Seattle – The Redskins have been playing with emotion and determination. The Seahawks really haven’t. Washington matches up well on the run against the Seattle front line, and should be able to score. If Seattle wins they should win a close game, and my guess is that they won’t even manage that. Pick: Washington.

Jacksonville (-2.5) at Pittsburgh – Jacksonville is the total media darling, but in this case they deserve it. Pittsburgh has looked lackluster recently. They have lost three of four. Jacksonville beat them less than a month ago, and that was before the Steelers got hit badly by injuries. The Jags will be able to run all day, and they will score at a pace that I am not sure Pittsburgh can match in their current state. This is my favorite game of the weekend. Pick: Jacksonville.

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Thursday Night Football

Thu, 20 Dec 2007 17:03:27 +0000

The Poinsettia Bowl is the most exciting game tonight in my mind, but then I’m a bowl junkie. While tonight’s NFL game isn’t as exciting, it is an interesting puzzle:

Pittsburgh (-7.5) at St. Louis – Normally, I would love to find a way to pick against the Steelers. They are playing poorly in recent weeks and I haven’t had a lot of faith in them all year. The problem, of course, is that they are playing the Rams. St. Louis has found all sorts of ways to be pitiful, their quarterbacking situation is one big uncertainty, and they don’t have a whole lot to play for. I look for Pittsburgh to seek redemption after two big losses. Pick: Pittsburgh.

UPDATE: It was close for longer than I thought it might be, and the Rams did some things well, but in the end they were just too flawed and the Steelers were too strong.

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Passing on Monday Night Football

Mon, 05 Nov 2007 21:20:42 +0000

Baltimore (+10) at Pittsburgh – Sometimes the best handicapping decision you can make is to not play a game. I think that this is such a case. I like Pittsburgh, and I am reasonably confident that they will win, but there is a big difference between winning and winning by 10. Baltimore is just 4-3, but has only lost by more than ten points once. Pittsburgh is 5-2, and they have beaten up on teams this year, but look at their opponents that they have run the score up on – Cleveland, Buffalo, San Francisco, Seattle, Cincinnati. Those are all teams that are either just plain bad or were facing some serious problems when they met the Steelers. Baltimore still has the second best defense in the league (behind Pittsburgh), and they were very effective at containing Pittsburgh last year. It is very possible that Pittsburgh will struggle to score all night. But then they could light it up, too. In short, I would probably lean towards taking Baltimore and the points if I had to, but I don’t see any value in either side, and I will be sitting this one out.

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