Ultra Sports Bet

There’s not much basketball action tonight, and even less that is interesting. Taking a day off is bad for karma, though, so there’s one game I think is worth a look tonight.
Harvard (+7) at Columbia – I like Columbia here for several reasons:

They beat Harvard by nine on the road two weeks ago.
They are an impressive 10-4 ATS, and 6-2 ATS in the last eight.
John Baumann, the Columbia forward who is the only real scoring threat on either team, is in fine form recently and he will be able to feast on the truly pathetic Harvard D.
I hate Tommy Amaker, …read more

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The action on Friday night is a slim as we would expect, but there is one game that is interesting and which provides a decent amount of value in my mind.
Davidson (-3) at Winthrop – Off the top I’ll say that I like Davidson here. The Wildcats are playing well, especially on the road, and they match up well. Winthrop is at the top of the Big South, but that doesn’t mean too much. Of course, Davidson has faced only marginally better competition in the Southern conference. It comes down, then, to three things;
1) Non-conference competition – Winthrop has played …read more

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There are four games in tonight’s holiday college basketball action that stand out for me as providing some value:
Xavier (+2.5) at Rhode Island – Xavier has struggled a bit lately, but they have still won seven in a row even if the margin hasn’t been as big as it could be. This is a battle for A-10 supremacy, and I truly believe that Xavier is the better squad. That makes them attractive here.

Austin Peay (+1) at Tennessee State – Austin Peay is the better team by a wide margin, and they are playing reasonably well. The edge isn’t huge …read more

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As is usual, there are a million college games this weekend. Here are the five that stick out as the best values on Saturday:
Louisville (-5.5) at Providence -  I love how Louisville is laying, I think that they match up well here, and I think that Rick Pitino gets a little more fired up than usual(which is saying something) when he goes back to Providence. The Cardinals seem attractive.
Drake (-1.5) at Northern Iowa – Drake had a long winning streak snapped last time out. If they are going to bounce back then this is a great spot for them to …read more

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I’ve gone back and forth on this game for two weeks now. I am confident that the Patriots are going to win, but the question has been by how much. The problem is, in my mind, the line is pretty solid. It could go either way. In the end, though, I am going to do the reasonably unthinkable and jump on the favorite. Here are seven reasons I will take the Pats:

1. I can’t get over the fact that Bill Belichick and company have seen Eli Manning once already, so they know what to expect from him. If you listen …read more

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New York Giants (+7) at Green Bay – I’ve burned money two weekends in a row by betting against the Giants. Why stop now? I don’t believe in this team despite their recent playoff run, and I am not confident that their pass rush will be able to shut down an opposing quarterback three weeks in a row. With the spread where it is I wouldn’t at all be surprised to have my money refunded for a push, but I still think that the value lies with the better team playing at home. Pick: Green Bay.

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San Diego (+14.5) at New England – I said it earlier in the week, and I am going to stick by it – I’m taking the Chargers. They are probably outclassed, and injuries will hurt, but two touchdowns is  a pretty big cushion, and I am more confident in their ability to keep it close than I am in the Pats to run away with it. I don’t see how New England won’t win, but San Diego is the choice here. Pick: San Diego.
Incidentally, as I suspected on Friday, the public seems to be jumping onto the Pats’ bandwagon with …read more

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Let me say this from the start – the Patriots are going to win the AFC Championship. They are then going to win the Super Bowl. I have very few doubts about that. That being said, I can’t help but jump on the Chargers right now. The spread is available in places at 14.5, and I want to take it now because I am unsure that it will continue to be available at better than two touchdowns for long. I think that betting that the Chargers can stay within two touchdowns of the future champs is the closest thing to …read more

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San Diego (+10) at Indianapolis – The Chargers are cocky, they are playing as well as they have all year, there is a good chance the Antonio Gates will be back, and they already beat Indy once this year. It seems to me like there is a decent chance that San Diego can stay within 10. The Colts should win, but it won’t be easy and I’ll happily take the points. Pick: San Diego.

New York Giants (+7.5) at Dallas – My hatred of the Giants cost me money last weekend, but not enough that I’m not going to bet …read more

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I had a pretty good feeling about the games last Saturday, and I got them both wrong. Maybe it’s a good thing, then, that I don’t feel great about either of today’s games.

Seattle (+8) at Green Bay – I have no doubt that Green Bay is the better team and the pick. I’m just not particularly thrilled about having to give up eight points to take them. I don’t like the Seahawks at all, but last week is a clear sign that I underestimate them. Green Bay has more talent, more emotion, and they are at home, so I have …read more

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