Week 15 NFL Picks

Week 15 NFL Picks

As I said on Friday, I am not particularly thrilled with the NFL these days. Finding value this week was a mind-numbing challenge. There are so many games that are automatic passes, and a couple of the interesting games have lines that are pretty tight. I only found three games this week that I will be taking a piece of. They are the best of the week, but in all of them there is still a bit of a reason to be nervous about the team I am backing. It’s also a bit odd that I am on three road …read more

Five on a Sunday

Five on a Sunday

Five games strike my fancy today. The New England game is not one of them, but I will obviously be watching with interest. My feeling is that this is the game where the Pats get back into spread covering form. I don’t particularly believe in the Steelers, especially on the road. I don’t have enough faith in that particular conviction to bet on it, though. Here are the five:
Oakland (-11) at Green Bay – I can’t believe I am actually going to take the Raiders, but it’s true. I think that 11 points is too many here. The Raiders …read more

NFL three-play

NFL three-play

There are more NFL games this weekend than we have seen since before the bye weeks started, yet there are only three that strike my fancy. I am intrigued by Buffalo and their mountain of points at home, but I can’t convince myself to pull the trigger on it.
New York Giants (-3) at Detroit – I know I said I was done with betting on the Lions, but I just can’t quit them. I don’t trust the Giants at all, and Detroit has been great at home, So the value lies in the Lions and the points. Pick: Detroit.
St. …read more

The best bet for Monday night

The best bet for Monday night

There is one bet tonight that absolutely can’t lose when it comes to football: Find something else to do – absolutely anything else – instead of watching San Francisco visit Seattle. The Seahawks are pretty bad, and they will likely be playing without Shaun Alexander and Deion Branch. The Niners are pretty much terrible. I bet that there are at least 17 million things that would be more interesting than watching this game. Don’t do it. Spend time with your family instead. Go for a walk. Alphabetize your CDs. Dance with your imaginary friend. I don’t care what you do, …read more

Week 8 NFL picks (just 364 more days to the Breeders’ Cup)

Week 8 NFL picks (just 364 more days to the Breeders’ Cup)

I’m playing an abnormally high number of NFL games this week (8) because I am feeling post-Breeders’ Cup withdrawal, so the action will help me shake the blues.
Indianapolis (-6.5) at Carolina – I am concerned by the injury situations of both Marvin Harrison and Tony Ugoh. Despite that, Indy’s defense is healthy, and that makes the Panthers an automatic bet-against in my book thanks to the Vinny Testaverde factor. You can not get ready for a team like in as little time as Vinny has had, and I don’t care how Disney-like his story has been. Pick: Indy.
New York …read more


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