Ultra Sports Bet » san-diego-chargers

AFC Championship

Sun, 20 Jan 2008 07:06:10 +0000

San Diego (+14.5) at New England – I said it earlier in the week, and I am going to stick by it – I’m taking the Chargers. They are probably outclassed, and injuries will hurt, but two touchdowns is a pretty big cushion, and I am more confident in their ability to keep it close than I am in the Pats to run away with it. I don’t see how New England won’t win, but San Diego is the choice here. Pick: San Diego.

Incidentally, as I suspected on Friday, the public seems to be jumping onto the Pats’ bandwagon with more authority. Their support has jumped from 48 percent to 54 in just over a day.

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Looking ahead to Sunday

Wed, 16 Jan 2008 14:57:42 +0000

Let me say this from the start – the Patriots are going to win the AFC Championship. They are then going to win the Super Bowl. I have very few doubts about that. That being said, I can’t help but jump on the Chargers right now. The spread is available in places at 14.5, and I want to take it now because I am unsure that it will continue to be available at better than two touchdowns for long. I think that betting that the Chargers can stay within two touchdowns of the future champs is the closest thing to value we will find in this game. The Chargers will find a way to keep it competitive, and the Pats haven’t shown a desire lately to crush their opponents – they are just about winning. I’ll post picks on Saturday, but as a preview, I am locking in on San Diego today.

The concern, of course, is the health of the Chargers. This is up in the air, but the only guy I am really concerned about in terms of potentially not playing is Philip Rivers, and Billy Volek isn’t a huge step back. This line reflects overcompensation for those injuries by the public in my mind.

I’ll make my bet on San Diego now, and if I get nervous between now and game time I can always reverse it by making a bet on New England.

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Sunday NFL playoff games

Sun, 13 Jan 2008 14:05:19 +0000

San Diego (+10) at Indianapolis – The Chargers are cocky, they are playing as well as they have all year, there is a good chance the Antonio Gates will be back, and they already beat Indy once this year. It seems to me like there is a decent chance that San Diego can stay within 10. The Colts should win, but it won’t be easy and I’ll happily take the points. Pick: San Diego.

New York Giants (+7.5) at Dallas – My hatred of the Giants cost me money last weekend, but not enough that I’m not going to bet against them again. Dallas hasn’t had much trouble with the Giants in recent history, and I don’t think that they will again here. I really don’t give a damn whether Jessica Simpson shows up at the game or not, and I have no doubts about Romo’s preparation or ability to handle the Giants. New York has had two big games in a row to get up for and I think they could be in for a step back against a rested, superior team. Pick: Dallas.

UPDATE: I’ll take 3-1 this weekend over the 1-3 of last weekend any time. It certainly didn’t happen how I expected, though. Saturday was pretty true to form, but I didn’t see Indy lying down when the pressure got intense, and I really don’t see Dallas failing to show up at home.

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