Ultra Sports Bet

New York Giants (+7) at Green Bay – I’ve burned money two weekends in a row by betting against the Giants. Why stop now? I don’t believe in this team despite their recent playoff run, and I am not confident that their pass rush will be able to shut down an opposing quarterback three weeks in a row. With the spread where it is I wouldn’t at all be surprised to have my money refunded for a push, but I still think that the value lies with the better team playing at home. Pick: Green Bay.

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I had a pretty good feeling about the games last Saturday, and I got them both wrong. Maybe it’s a good thing, then, that I don’t feel great about either of today’s games.

Seattle (+8) at Green Bay – I have no doubt that Green Bay is the better team and the pick. I’m just not particularly thrilled about having to give up eight points to take them. I don’t like the Seahawks at all, but last week is a clear sign that I underestimate them. Green Bay has more talent, more emotion, and they are at home, so I have …read more

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I had a perfectly average day of picks yesterday – four wins in eight games. I monumentally underestimated the power of the Patriots offense, or, more correctly, I overestimated the potency of the Redskins defense. Actually, I gave Washington credit for having a defense. Clearly a mistake. I also made the terrible mistake of trusting Eli Manning. What a pathetic and disinterested display. I know that the field was terrible, but Cleo Lemon played on the same field with less talent and fewer weapons and looked better. Disgusting. I also got to witness how truly inept an offense can be …read more

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There’s only one game that everyone is talking about this week – New England at Dallas. Though I won’t be making a pick on the game because I don’t see a lot of value in the line, there is one thing I would be willing to bet on – one way or the other the game is going to be a disappointment that doesn’t come close to living up to the hype. There are, on the other hand, five games that do have some value in them. I obviously am not nostalgic about the concept of home this week because …read more

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