Ultra Sports Bet

I’ve gone back and forth on this game for two weeks now. I am confident that the Patriots are going to win, but the question has been by how much. The problem is, in my mind, the line is pretty solid. It could go either way. In the end, though, I am going to do the reasonably unthinkable and jump on the favorite. Here are seven reasons I will take the Pats:

1. I can’t get over the fact that Bill Belichick and company have seen Eli Manning once already, so they know what to expect from him. If you listen …read more

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This is an article I had fun writing this week for Doc’s Sports. There is a ton of good information and articles over there for you to check out about the Super Bowl and everything else.
It’s incredible to see the number of Super Bowl prop bets that are being offered by books this year. You can bet on almost everything from the relevant and interesting to the truly ridiculous. As hard as it is to believe, though, there are quite a few bets that I was looking to make that I couldn’t find anyone offering action on. Here, then, …read more

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Yesterday it was player props, and today it is team bets. As a general rule, I think that the team props almost always offer more value than the player props – you don’t have to rely on just one player doing the right thing in order to cash a ticket. There are quite a few attractive team bets this year. I’ll post mine, and you can add any you like in the comments.
Will the game ever be tied after the first score? – Yes +130 – $250 – The score has been tied twice in the Pats two playoff …read more

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There are so many different prop bets available for the Super Bowl that I can’t do them justice in one day. So many options mean lots of potential value, though, so it is worthwhile to spend the time looking around at what is offered. I’ll look at the player props today and the team props tomorrow. For each one I’ll make it more interesting by taking a $1000 bankroll and spreading it around in a way I hope will ultimately be profitable. Feel free to add your favorites in the comments.
Eli Manning’s first pass of the game will be …read more

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Before I make my Super Bowl pick I want to go through the exercise of looking at the teams one at a time and considering the ways that they could win the game. Yesterday it was the Patriots, and today it is the Giants. I should say up front that I am confident that the Patriots are going to win. The point of this exercise is to see if they can win by enough to cover the spread. The Giants can cover because:

1. The Pats are struggling ATS. After covering their first eight games the Patriots have covered just …read more

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Before I make my Super Bowl pick I want to go through the exercise of looking at the teams one at a time and considering the ways that they could win the game. I’ll start with the favorites today and hit the underdogs tomorrow. The Patriots can cover because:

1. Tom Brady. The guy is the best quarterback in the league, and the biggest asset, too. He can single handedly win this game if he decides to.
2. Depth. The offense is scary. They have pass catching threats everywhere, Brady will get the time he needs, and they can run at …read more

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Here’s a collection of some of the interesting, useful, frivolous, or enjoyable sites and resources I have found helpful in the lead up to the Super Bowl:

 This system makes some impressive and fairly unbelievable claims. I don’t buy that it is as good as it claims, but it is interesting. For what it’s worth, the Patriots are ahead by more than a 2-1 margin when you add up the points.
This isn’t perfect or particularly insightful, but it is a decent overview of the matchups.
More on walking-cast-gate. I strongly suspect that this will be the most overblown, irrelevant story in the …read more

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If you’re like most sports fans, the biggest thing on your mind this week is the Super Bowl and who is going to win it. Later on this week I will spend a bunch of time breaking down this particular matchups and coming to my conclusion. Before we get to the specifics, though, I thought I would start with the generalities. When you sit down to make your pick for the big game you will be best served by keeping at least some of these tips in mind:
1. Don’t fear the favorites – It may seem like a …read more

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I haven’t yet decided precisely how the Super Bowl is going to turn out, and it will take lots more handicapping before I do, but I am pretty confident that these 10 people or things won’t be the deciding factor:
1. Tom Brady’s walking cast

2. Jessica Simpson

3. Scott Norwood

4. Snow

5. The presence of the Manning family in the stands, no matter how nauseating

6. Gisele Bundchen (I mention her only so I can show her picture)

7. Bill Belichick’s hoodie

8. Who wins the coin flip

9. Steroids

10. Tiki Barber (though he will claim he does)

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