Will lame duck coaches matter?

Will lame duck coaches matter?

This is something we won’t need to worry about for eight months or so, but I wanted to discuss it now while it was still fresh. Three pretty unique coaching situations have popped up in the NFL in the last couple of weeks. While each one is different, they all share similar elements. I’m talking about Seattle, Dallas and Indianapolis. All three are playoff teams, and all three have made moves that could undermine their coaches in the future.In Seattle, Mike Holmgren is the ultimate lame duck. He has announced that he will return, but just for one year. …read more

10 reasons I am going to hate this Super Bowl

10 reasons I am going to hate this Super Bowl

We’re going to be talking about the Super Bowl a lot over the next two weeks. After all, it is the biggest sports betting event of the year, and sports betting is what we are all about. Let’s get started. I have to admit that I am not that excited about this match-up. Okay, I hate it. Here’s why:
1. Inevitability – In the dictionary under inevitable it says ‘Patriots win 2008 Super Bowl’. I like sports for the drama, and I see about as much drama in this as in an elementary school production of Cats.
2. Eli Manning …read more

NFC Championship

NFC Championship

New York Giants (+7) at Green Bay – I’ve burned money two weekends in a row by betting against the Giants. Why stop now? I don’t believe in this team despite their recent playoff run, and I am not confident that their pass rush will be able to shut down an opposing quarterback three weeks in a row. With the spread where it is I wouldn’t at all be surprised to have my money refunded for a push, but I still think that the value lies with the better team playing at home. Pick: Green Bay.

AFC Championship

AFC Championship

San Diego (+14.5) at New England – I said it earlier in the week, and I am going to stick by it – I’m taking the Chargers. They are probably outclassed, and injuries will hurt, but two touchdowns is  a pretty big cushion, and I am more confident in their ability to keep it close than I am in the Pats to run away with it. I don’t see how New England won’t win, but San Diego is the choice here. Pick: San Diego.
Incidentally, as I suspected on Friday, the public seems to be jumping onto the Pats’ bandwagon with …read more

Surprising public action for Sunday’s early game

Surprising public action for Sunday’s early game

I was just checking out the public action for this weekend’s football games, and frankly I was more than a little bit surprised about what is happening in the early game. For what I would imagine is the first or at worst second time this year, fewer bettors have sided with the New England Patriots than have with their opponent. As of late Thursday night, 48 percent of bets have been placed on New England, leaving 52 percent on San Diego. Given that a Super Bowl title looks pretty much inevitable after how the playoffs have shaken out, and given …read more

It’s all about perspective

It’s all about perspective

This isn’t directly related to sports betting, but it is just so ridiculous that I had to share it. I live in Canada, and my hometown of Calgary has a Canadian Football League team, the Stampeders. We are the former home of NFL greats like Doug Flutie and Jeff Garcia. There are those up here that would argue that it is a better brand of football than the NFL or college football. Simply put, it is not. It is entertaining – a great way to spend a sunny afternoon – but it is full of Division II players and NFL …read more

Looking ahead to Sunday

Looking ahead to Sunday

Let me say this from the start – the Patriots are going to win the AFC Championship. They are then going to win the Super Bowl. I have very few doubts about that. That being said, I can’t help but jump on the Chargers right now. The spread is available in places at 14.5, and I want to take it now because I am unsure that it will continue to be available at better than two touchdowns for long. I think that betting that the Chargers can stay within two touchdowns of the future champs is the closest thing to …read more

Sunday NFL playoff games

Sunday NFL playoff games

San Diego (+10) at Indianapolis – The Chargers are cocky, they are playing as well as they have all year, there is a good chance the Antonio Gates will be back, and they already beat Indy once this year. It seems to me like there is a decent chance that San Diego can stay within 10. The Colts should win, but it won’t be easy and I’ll happily take the points. Pick: San Diego.

New York Giants (+7.5) at Dallas – My hatred of the Giants cost me money last weekend, but not enough that I’m not going to bet …read more

Saturday NFL action

Saturday NFL action

I had a pretty good feeling about the games last Saturday, and I got them both wrong. Maybe it’s a good thing, then, that I don’t feel great about either of today’s games.

Seattle (+8) at Green Bay – I have no doubt that Green Bay is the better team and the pick. I’m just not particularly thrilled about having to give up eight points to take them. I don’t like the Seahawks at all, but last week is a clear sign that I underestimate them. Green Bay has more talent, more emotion, and they are at home, so I have …read more

Sunday NFL Wild Card games

Sunday NFL Wild Card games

Unlike Saturday, these games do absolutely nothing to excite me. That doesn’t mean I won’t pick them, though. I am a wild man.
New York Giants (+2.5) at Tampa Bay – I have gone back and forth on this one, but in the end I just have to go with the Bucs. I don’t like where the Giants are mentally after losing to the Pats despite laying it all out, and I don’t like their injury status. I am concerned about the Giants pass rush, but not as concerned as the media seems to be. In the end, I just …read more

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