$1000 bankroll – Player prop bets
There are so many different prop bets available for the Super Bowl that I can’t do them justice in one day. So many options mean lots of potential value, though, so it is worthwhile to spend the time looking around at what is offered. I’ll look at the player props today and the team props tomorrow. For each one I’ll make it more interesting by taking a $1000 bankroll and spreading it around in a way I hope will ultimately be profitable. Feel free to add your favorites in the comments.
Eli Manning’s first pass of the game will be incomplete – 8/5 – $150 – I think that Manning will be uncomfortable early on, and the Patriots defense will do everything they can to keep him that way. That makes this price attractive to me.
Will Randy Moss score two or more TDs? – Yes – +250 – $150 – Manning has had a rough playoff stretch, but he had eight multi-touchdown games on the season, and he torched the Giants last time out.
Donte Stallworth over three receptions – +115 – $150 – I like the price, and I think Stallworth will be looked at as a real option if Moss can’t get free.
Stephen Gostkowski over 8.5 points – +110 – $150 – The Patriots’ kicker had 12 points the last time the teams played.
Most TD Passes – Tom Brady – -1.5 +160 – $250 – Needless to say, this bet reflects my belief that this is going to be a one-sided game, and that the imbalance in quarterback play will reflect that.
Player to score first pats TD – Randy Moss – 5/2 – $150 – I think the Pats are going to go to Moss early and often after his ineffectiveness two weeks in a row. Going to him early will show that the Pats don’t fear or respect the Giants.
3 Comments
Hey TO, Prop bets are really entertaining but you would have to be a fool to take one. They are so easy to fix.
peace,,, Iron Mike
I agree, Mike. I only look at them because they are interesting and they help kill time until the game starts. I would never play them in a serious way or suggest that a committed long-term bettor should, either. Of course, I wouldn’t really suggest that anyone pay this game for anything other than fun, either – too much of a circus.
TO I think they are hilarious also. The one prop bet was How many times Joe Buck will mistakenly use peyton’s name instead of Eli. The spread was 51/2.
Heck for a turkey sandwich from a sportsbook he’ll say it 50 times if the want.
Peace,,Iron Mike