$1000 bankroll – Player prop bets

$1000 bankroll – Player prop bets

There are so many different prop bets available for the Super Bowl that I can’t do them justice in one day. So many options mean lots of potential value, though, so it is worthwhile to spend the time looking around at what is offered. I’ll look at the player props today and the team props tomorrow. For each one I’ll make it more interesting by taking a $1000 bankroll and spreading it around in a way I hope will ultimately be profitable. Feel free to add your favorites in the comments.
Eli Manning’s first pass of the game will be …read more

5 Reasons to bet on the Giants to win the Super Bowl

5 Reasons to bet on the Giants to win the Super Bowl

Before I make my Super Bowl pick I want to go through the exercise of looking at the teams one at a time and considering the ways that they could win the game. Yesterday it was the Patriots, and today it is the Giants. I should say up front that I am confident that the Patriots are going to win. The point of this exercise is to see if they can win by enough to cover the spread. The Giants can cover because:

1. The Pats are struggling ATS. After covering their first eight games the Patriots have covered just …read more

5 Reasons to bet on the Patriots to win the Super Bowl

5 Reasons to bet on the Patriots to win the Super Bowl

Before I make my Super Bowl pick I want to go through the exercise of looking at the teams one at a time and considering the ways that they could win the game. I’ll start with the favorites today and hit the underdogs tomorrow. The Patriots can cover because:

1. Tom Brady. The guy is the best quarterback in the league, and the biggest asset, too. He can single handedly win this game if he decides to.
2. Depth. The offense is scary. They have pass catching threats everywhere, Brady will get the time he needs, and they can run at …read more

The Week in Betting, A to Z

The Week in Betting, A to Z

This is a column I do every week for Doc’s Sports. You can, and should, check them out at docsports.com for all sorts of information, insights and picks. I do a lot of writing for them.
A – Alfredsson, Daniel. The captain of the Ottawa Senators had a pretty good night on Thursday when his team traveled to Tampa Bay. If you call seven points a good night, that is. The Swede scored a hat trick and added four more assists to help his team double up on the Lightning 8-4. The offensive star hadn’t scored in two previous games, so …read more

Super Bowl links galore

Super Bowl links galore

Here’s a collection of some of the interesting, useful, frivolous, or enjoyable sites and resources I have found helpful in the lead up to the Super Bowl:

 This system makes some impressive and fairly unbelievable claims. I don’t buy that it is as good as it claims, but it is interesting. For what it’s worth, the Patriots are ahead by more than a 2-1 margin when you add up the points.
This isn’t perfect or particularly insightful, but it is a decent overview of the matchups.
More on walking-cast-gate. I strongly suspect that this will be the most overblown, irrelevant story in the …read more

10 tips to help you pick a Super Bowl winner

10 tips to help you pick a Super Bowl winner

If you’re like most sports fans, the biggest thing on your mind this week is the Super Bowl and who is going to win it. Later on this week I will spend a bunch of time breaking down this particular matchups and coming to my conclusion. Before we get to the specifics, though, I thought I would start with the generalities. When you sit down to make your pick for the big game you will be best served by keeping at least some of these tips in mind:
1. Don’t fear the favorites – It may seem like a …read more

10 Things that won’t affect the outcome of the Super Bowl

10 Things that won’t affect the outcome of the Super Bowl

I haven’t yet decided precisely how the Super Bowl is going to turn out, and it will take lots more handicapping before I do, but I am pretty confident that these 10 people or things won’t be the deciding factor:
1. Tom Brady’s walking cast

2. Jessica Simpson

3. Scott Norwood

4. Snow

5. The presence of the Manning family in the stands, no matter how nauseating

6. Gisele Bundchen (I mention her only so I can show her picture)

7. Bill Belichick’s hoodie

8. Who wins the coin flip

9. Steroids

10. Tiki Barber (though he will claim he does)

Racing and other things

Racing and other things

This is the last article until the Super Bowl kicks off that won’t be about that game. There is all sorts of good content on tap.
Check out this article. It’s one I wrote today about the effect of superstars on the performance of NBA teams against the spread. I’m biased, but I think it is kind of interesting.

The focus of the racing world is mostly on the road to the Derby, but there are other things going on. This is Asiatic Boy, and he is making me giddy. He is based in Dubai, and he is spectacular. He won the …read more

Will lame duck coaches matter?

Will lame duck coaches matter?

This is something we won’t need to worry about for eight months or so, but I wanted to discuss it now while it was still fresh. Three pretty unique coaching situations have popped up in the NFL in the last couple of weeks. While each one is different, they all share similar elements. I’m talking about Seattle, Dallas and Indianapolis. All three are playoff teams, and all three have made moves that could undermine their coaches in the future.In Seattle, Mike Holmgren is the ultimate lame duck. He has announced that he will return, but just for one year. …read more

Betting on the Oscars

Betting on the Oscars

Movies aren’t sports, but anything you can bet on is worth a look. The Academy Awards nominations were announced on Tuesday, and the odds have been posted at Bodog and other sportsbooks for the winners. This is a fun way to stay interested in Hollywood’s big day, and often a way to make a few bucks as well. Here’s a quick breakdown of the major categories with a focus on betting opportunities. As in most years, the favorites are the way to go in many cases:
Best Picture – This category seems wide open, with the highest price being just …read more

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