Thursday Night Football
If you had told me at the beginning of the year that the biggest game of the year in the NFC would be Green Bay and Dallas I would have gently suggested that you find a way to get off the drugs. Regardless, that’s what it is, and it shapes up to be a great game. For once, I am in a television advantage in Canada – for some reason I get the NFL Network when millions down south don’t, and even if I didn’t it’s on regular cable here, too. That doesn’t make up for our inability to get ESPN up here, but it helps a bit.
Green Bay (+7) at Dallas - I’ll start at the end and go backwards. I’m taking Green Bay and the points. I think that the game is pretty well matched and could go any way, so I will take the one that gets the points. There are three key matchups I think could affect the outcome of the game. The first is Tony Romo vs. the Green Bay pass rush. Romo gets sacked more than he should, andGreen Bay has two solid rush ends. Advantage: Green Bay. Next up – the Dallas running game vs. the Green Bay run defense. Green Bay gives up more than 100 yards per game on the ground, and Dallas has a pretty good two headed monster carrying the ball. Advantage: Dallas. And the tiebreaker: Brett Favre vs. the Dallas pass defense. Favre is in the zone, and the pass defense is the weakest part of Dallas’ overall game (bottom third of the league). The potential exists for Favre to have a big day. Advantage: Green Bay. That 2-1. I’m nothing if not democratic, so I will lean slightly towards taking the points, especially now that the number has drifted up to the key number of seven. Pick: Green Bay.
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