Making League Championship Series picks
I had a very successful LDS round from a betting perspective. If history repeats itself then that likely means that I am doomed in the LCS round, but that won’t stop me from trying. Here’s my very quick take on the two rounds. I did more in depth analysis here.
Arizona (+115) vs. Colorado (-135) – I’m torn on this one. I think that Colorado is the choice, but I don’t love the price. Both teams are overachieving compared to what they show on paper, but the Rockies are playing with a cohesiveness and unified vision that I’m not sure I have seen before, and that will be tough to beat. One key to the series will be Jeff Francis’ ability to match up with Arizona ace Brandon Webb. If he can do that, and his recent performances suggest he has a good chance (We’ll know for sure after game one), then Colorado should be fine. Pick: Colorado
Boston (-170) vs. Cleveland (+150) – You can read everything I read about the last Cleveland series and apply it here. Boston is a very good team with solid starters and a good bullpen So is Cleveland. Both teams had the identical regular season record, and both teams played well in the first round. They both have bats that can get hot, and they both play in front of crowds that give them an edge. Boston may have a slight edge in this series, but in my eyes the edge is only very slight, and that makes it pretty much a coin flip. That makes Cleveland at 1.5/1 full of value in my eyes. Pick: Cleveland.
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