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Breaking the NFL tie

I had a perfectly average day of picks yesterday – four wins in eight games. I monumentally underestimated the power of the Patriots offense, or, more correctly, I overestimated the potency of the Redskins defense. Actually, I gave Washington credit for having a defense. Clearly a mistake. I also made the terrible mistake of trusting Eli Manning. What a pathetic and disinterested display. I know that the field was terrible, but Cleo Lemon played on the same field with less talent and fewer weapons and looked better. Disgusting. I also got to witness how truly inept an offense can be with Tennessee. I thought that they would be able to score against a less-than-decent Oakland defense, but I was clearly mistaken. I thought offensive coordinator Norm Chow was a genius? Vince Young would struggle to look worse than he did yesterday. On the plus side, New Orleans, Indy and Buffalo all won with a near total lack of stress on my part. The results in all three games weren’t in question for long.

Since I played so many games anyway, and since I have a tie, and since I hate ties, I might as well play the Monday night game. I am normally not nearly this footloose on my picks, but it’s a unique weekend.

Green Bay (+3) at Denver – Denver has three wins this year by a combined five points. When they win they have been barely winning. Green Bay has a stout defense, and they are very well rested (15 days between games) and healthy. Jay Cutler’s accuracy will be challenged by the aggressive defense, and he has struggled to put up points at the best of times. I think Green Bay will win, but even if they don’t this spread is very attractive because it provides a push at the most likely margin of loss. Pick: Green Bay.

UPDATE: What a freaking incredible pass that was by Favre to end the game in overtime and give me the win. At the beginning of the year I said repeatedly that I thought that it was time for Favre to pack it in because the game had passed him by. Well, the team is 6-1, he’s having an excellent year, and I look like a bit of an idiot. At least I’m used to that. And I got the win.

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